Australia’s AGL Energy rejects $3.5 billion offer, investors expect more

© Reuters. The logo of AGL Energy Ltd, Australia’s no.2 power retailer, adorns the building of their head office in Sydney, Australia, February 8, 2017. Picture taken February 8, 2017. REUTERS/David Gray

By Sonali Paul and Shashwat Awasthi

MELBOURNE (Reuters) -Australia’s top power producer AGL Energy (OTC:) Ltd on Monday rejected an unsolicited $3.54 billion takeover overture from tech billionaire Mike Cannon-Brookes and Canada’s Brookfield Asset Management, sticking to its own spin-off tune.

The surprise bid comes as AGL seeks to split itself in two – a retail and renewable energy operation and a coal-fired generation business – by June in an attempt to turn around a 75% slump in its market value over the past five years.

Brookfield and Cannon-Brookes, Australia’s second-richest man, said their goal is to speed up delivery of cleaner and cheaper energy. AGL, Australia’s biggest polluter, produces more than 8% of Australia’s carbon emissions.

But AGL said the A$7.50 per share cash proposal – a 4.7% premium to the stock’s Friday close – undervalued the business. The shares jumped as much as 13% on Monday, to a high of A$8.09, as investors placed bets that a higher bid will emerge.

“Energy transition will be one of the biggest investment opportunities of our lifetime,” said Mark Carney, vice chair of Brookfield, which has nearly $700 billion in assets under management, and former Bank of England governor.

Brookfield and Cannon-Brookes, a co-founder of software business Atlassian (NASDAQ:) Corp and climate activist, said they plan to invest about A$20 billion ($14.4 billion) to replace AGL’s coal-fired power with clean energy and storage, aiming to achieve net zero carbon emissions by 2035, five years earlier than AGL’s current plan.

On Monday, AGL was unmoved.

“The proposal does not offer an adequate premium for a change of control and is not in the best interests of AGL Energy shareholders,” AGL Chairman Peter Botten said. “The board is confident that the demerger (its own spin-off plan) will create a strong future for both parts of the business.”

The bidding consortium hopes to persuade AGL’s board to allow the team to look at AGL’s books and aims to complete a deal before the end of this year, Brookfield’s Asia Pacific Chief Executive Officer Stewart Upson told reporters in Sydney.

BID BATTLE?

Analysts said the approach from Brookfield and Cannon-Brookes could spark a bidding war for AGL, with major European companies, including Shell (LON:), Spain’s Iberdrola (OTC:) and France’s TotalEnergies all looking to expand into Australian power retailing.

Those companies, however, are unlikely to want AGL’s legacy coal-fired power business as they look to decarbonise their own operations.

“This is not a low-risk venture – that’s why no-one else has emerged to date,” said Tim Buckley, founder of a new think tank, Climate Energy Finance.

AGL’s earnings have been hammered in recent years by an influx of cheap solar and wind power. That has made coal-fired plants less viable. At the same time the government has forced utilities to slash power prices to households and businesses.

The bidding team said they would not shut coal-fired capacity until it has been replaced by renewables and storage to ensure steady supply and prices. AGL flagged earlier this month it would shut its last coal-fired plant in 2045.

“This proposal will mean cheaper, cleaner and more reliable energy for customers,” Cannon-Brookes, 42, said in a statement. “It will create over 10,000 Australian jobs and ensure customers don’t bear the brunt of higher power prices – a likely scenario if the proposed demerger happens.”

Brookfield last year raised $7 billion for a Global Transition Fund, focusing on renewable power for the transition to a net zero economy, which will be used for the bid.

Cannon-Brookes has long pushed for Australia to speed up the transition to clean energy. He spurred Tesla (NASDAQ:)’s Elon Musk to build Australia’s first large-scale battery in 2017 following a spate of blackouts, and is backing a A$20 billion project, Sun Cable, to supply solar power from northern Australia to Singapore.

($1 = 1.3877 Australian dollars)

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